The US Dollar aimed higher against its major counterparts this past week, fulfilling a move that markets had been building up since the beginning of August. Throughout June and July, the markets priced in a pivot narrative for the Federal Reserve despite the highest inflation in 40 years and the most aggressive tightening in decades.
The US nonfarm payrolls report will take center stage next week as speculation about the size of the Fed’s next rate hike goes into overdrive. Investors will also be keeping a close eye on the latest inflation readings in the euro area ahead of the September rate decision amid growing gloom about the bloc’s economic outlook. PMI indicators out of China and as well as quarterly data from Australia and Canada will be important too in helping to gauge the health of the big economies.
Three high-frequency economic prints next week will likely move the markets whether they meet expectations or not: China’s PMI, the eurozone’s CPI, and the US employment report.
Major Currencies Performance and Signals